POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 51...CORRECTED
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 01 2017
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL POSITION
...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY GRADUALLY WEAKENS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...37.5N 84.8W
ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...SSW OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY
ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...ENE OF GLASGOW KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS WELL AS FLOOD ADVISORIES
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE MID-OHIO VALLEY INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY.
FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN
TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA...AS WELL AS SCATTERED AREAS IN
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 84.8
WEST. HARVEY HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN SINCE THIS MORNING WHEN IT
WAS DECLARED POST-TROPICAL. THE AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER HAS CONTINUED TO
SHRINK AND IS NOW CONFINED TO THE MID-OHIO VALLEY. MEANWHILE...AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPMENT ALONG A WARM
FRONT. THE CIRCULATION OF HARVEY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS UPSTATE NEW YORK ON SATURDAY ...REACHING THE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY IN CANADA BY MONDAY. MEANWHILE...THE
SECONDARY LOW NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY
DEVELOP AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
DURING THE WEEKEND BEFORE ABSORBING HARVEY IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES ON MONDAY.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN FROM NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA INTO SOUTHERN OHIO AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND THESE RAINS WILL
ENHANCE THE FLASH FLOODING RISK ACROSS THESE AREAS. MEANWHILE,
WIDESPREAD SEVERE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN AND AROUND HOUSTON,
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR/ORANGE, AND EASTWARD AROUND THE LOUISIANA
BORDER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE
AFFECTED AREA IF YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO
FLOODED ROADWAYS.
...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11
PM EDT
...ALABAMA...
GASQUE 8.00
BONSECOUR 7.91
GRAND BAY 10.5 NE 6.81
FOLEY 7.4 SW 6.44
ELBERTA 6.31
ORANGE BEACH 6.03
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 6.01
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT 5.83
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 5.83
FAIRHOPE 5.77
GULF SHORES 5.60
SUMMERDALE 4.73
MONTROSE 4.52
DAPHNE 0.4 SW 4.42
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL 3W 4.35
SONNY CALLAHAN ARPT 4.32
...ARKANSAS...
WATSON 9 N 9.96
LAKE POINSETT RAWS 6.63
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE 6.42
LITTLE DIXIE 6.24
CANAL 43 N. NEAR DUMAS 6.03
HARRISBURG 4.33
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT 4.33
FELSENTHAL 7 NNW 3.21
CROSSETT 0.9 S 2.79
JONESBORO MUNI ARPT 2.01
...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT 7.95
MILTON 7.33
UNIVERSITY WEST 2.0 WNW 6.36
CRESTVIEW - SIKES ARPT 5.63
PACE 5.35
GULF BREEZE 5.28
PANAMA CITY ARPT 4.03
...GEORGIA...
COLUMBUS METRO ARPT 2.04
ATLANTA RGNL ARPT - FALCON FIELD 1.70
...KENTUCKY...
GREEN RIVER NEAR BROWNSVILLE 1 NE 8.82
RUSSELLVILLE 2 W 8.20
HAYS 2 SSE 7.93
BARREN RIVER AT BOWLING GREEN 7.59
ELKTON 5 SW 7.19
GUTHRIE 1 WNW 7.10
PLANO 2 NW 7.04
PROVIDENCE 3 ENE 6.83
GLASGOW RGNL ARPT 6.51
PLUM SPRINGS 3 SSE 6.37
BOWLING GREEN RGNL ARPT 5.99
FRANKLIN 2 NE 5.58
SCOTTSVILLE 2 W 5.54
WISDOM 1 SSW 4.82
AUBURN 6 WNW 4.39
HODGENVILLE 2 E 4.20
CORINTH 3 SW 4.06
LOUISVILLE STANDIFORD FIELD 2.09
...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY 22.25
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO 20.62
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 18.23
CALCASIEU RVR AT OLD TOWN BA 18.15
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 17.85
W-6 AT WARD LINE ROAD 17.24
MOSS BLUFF 16.70
BELFIELD DITCH AT BELFIELD ROAD 16.37
IOWA 0.9 ESE 16.36
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT GOOS RD 16.02
BAYOU ARSENE AT HECKER ROAD 15.84
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 15.74
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW 15.41
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 15.18
EB L-14 AT IOWA BASEBALL FIELD 14.85
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 14.10
TOPSY 4 NNW 14.08
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 13.04
ZAVALLA 2 ENE 12.87
SULPHUR 2.2 E 12.54
BON WIER 2 ENE 12.44
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 12.28
WELSH 0.7 W 12.26
W-4 AT NELSON ROAD 12.12
GILLIS 4 WSW 12.11
FORT POLK 11.96
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 11.21
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.55
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 9.26
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 9.08
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 8.92
VERNON - FTS 8.77
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 7.14
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 5.88
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 5.33
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA 4.84
SLIDELL AIRPORT 3.82
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 3.17
...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER 8.27
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS 7.90
GRAND BAY 6.06
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE 4.61
MOSS POINT - TRENT LOTT INTL ARPT 4.55
PASCAGOULA 4.54
PEARLINGTON 4.4 N 3.99
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN 3.35
TANGIPAHOA RIVER AT OSYKA 3.15
TYLERTOWN 9 WNW 3.08
NATCHEZ/HARDY 2.91
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 2.55
GULFPORT-BILOXI 2.40
...TENNESSEE...
RED RIVER AT PORT ROYAL 9.17
LAKELAND 8.15
LEXINGTON 7.44
FAIRVIEW BOWIE NATURE CENTER 7.12
MILLEDGEVILLE 2 S 6.78
SPRINGFIELD ROBERTSON CNTY ARPT 6.15
CLARKSVILLE 6.10
CENTERVILLE 15 NE 5.02
NASHVILLE INTL ARPT 4.52
JACKSON MCKELLAR-SIPES RGNL ARPT 4.30
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT 4.05
...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40
DAYTON 0.2 E 49.23
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD 49.20
CLEAR LAKE 48.14
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 47.35
SANTA FE 0.7 S 46.70
PASADENA 4.4 WNW 45.74
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 45.60
SOUTH HOUSTON 4.0 SSW 44.91
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD 44.80
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 44.44
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 44.05
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD 43.52
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 43.38
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE 43.32
WEBSTER 0.4 NW 43.32
LNVA CHEEK CANAL AT DITCH 407 43.11
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 42.32
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD 42.16
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959 42.12
BOONDOCKS RD AT TAYLORS BA 41.86
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE 41.20
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 40.44
SH 124 AT HILLEBRANDT BAYOU 38.18
MAHAW BAYOU AT ENGLIN RD 37.75
JACINTO CITY 37.60
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST 37.00
TELEPSEN 36.60
MAHAW BAYOU AT BRUSH ISLAND ROAD 36.53
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 33.37
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 31.26
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 27.88
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 27.01
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 22.84
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
VICTORIA 3.8 NW 15.60
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S 6.23
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...KENTUCKY...
BLACK GNAT 4 N 43
VERSAILLES 7 E 41
...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE 132
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE 125
LAMAR 2 SSW 110
ROCKPORT 1 S 108
TAFT 5 NNE 90
MAGNOLIA BEACH 8 ESE 79
EDNA 73
FLOUR BLUFF 4 ESE 72
ARANSAS PASS 7 SE 71
CLEAR LAKE SHORES 1 WSW 71
BRAZOS 451 70
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 69
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 5 SE 65
GANADO 7 S 64
LA WARD 64
BAYOU VISTA 13 E 61
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
QUINTANA 1 NE 58
SUGAR LAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
JONES CREEK 9 SW 55
LA MARQUE 2 E 55
FREEPORT 1 ESE 54
SAN LEON 19 E 54
MISSOURI CITY 1 SE 53
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 53
WEBSTER 53
BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52
GONZALES AIRPORT 52
NASSAU BAY 52
TEXAS CITY 4 ENE 52
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
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INITIAL 02/0300Z 37.5N 84.8W
12HR VT 02/1200Z 38.1N 84.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 03/0000Z 41.1N 82.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 03/1200Z 43.2N 78.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 04/0000Z 45.5N 73.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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