Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Twitter
NCEP Quarterly Newsletter
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
  GOES-East Satellite
  GOES-West Satellite
  National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
   Winter Weather
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   Staff
   WPC History
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Remnants of LEE Advisory Number 16
 
Issued 15:00Z Sep 05, 2011
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  34   33   32   31   30   29   28   27   26   25   24   23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   

 
REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1000 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

CORRECTED FOR AN INCREASE IN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS.
 
 
...REMNANTS OF LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 89.9W
ABOUT 40 MILES...64 KM...NNE OF NEW ORLEANS, LA.
ABOUT 125 MILES...201 KM...S OF JACKSON, MS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. LEE HAS BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AS IT HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION
CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO
ALABAMA BY MONDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL
ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS
WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH GUSTS UP
TO 50 MPH...80 KM/H.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT 

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE 10.2 WSW                     11.35                      
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW                    10.39                      
THEODORE 3.7 WNW                     9.78                      
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE                 9.75                      
FOLEY 2.0 SSW                        9.73                      
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW                      9.65                      
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW              9.47                      
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   9.19                      
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW                  7.90                      
WILMER 7.9 SE                        7.51                      
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N                       7.41                      

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE                      10.03                      
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE                     7.35                      
PENSACOLA 3.8 N                      6.57                      
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW               6.35                      
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE                       6.10                      
PACE 2.4 N                           6.06                      
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW                      6.02                      
DESTIN AIRPORT                       5.93                      
GONZALEZ 2.1 E                       5.68                      
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.37                      
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE                     5.33                      
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.30                      
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   5.30                      
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW                      5.13                      

...KENTUCKY...
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW                 3.10                      
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S                   2.34                      
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE                2.33                      
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE                  2.14                      
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE                    2.08                      
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW                      2.00                      

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN                              15.43                      
N.O. CAROLLTON                      14.32                      
MAUREPAS                            13.63                      
PONCHATOULA 4 SE                    13.22                      
CONVENT 2 S                         13.04                      
RESERVE 0.5 SSE                     12.43                      
GRAY 0.5 ENE                        12.15                      
MARRERO 1.9 E                       11.21                      
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                  10.91                      
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                 10.80                      
MERAUX 0.8 WNW                      10.10                      
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW                9.93                      
LACOMBE 1.4 N                        9.79                      
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S                      9.10                      
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW                      9.04                      
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E                    9.00                      
SLIDELL 2.2 NE                       8.20                      

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E                      13.45                      
WAVELAND 1.1 NW                     13.20                      
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE                     11.75                      
GULFPORT 2.0 NE                     11.71                      
LONG BEACH 0.7 S                    11.59                      
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N                11.31                      
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW                    11.25                      
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E                  11.18                      
PEARL 3.4 ESE                       11.14                      
JACKSON WFO                         11.13                      
KILN 6.6 N                          10.90                      
GULFPORT-BILOXI                     10.78                      

...TENNESSEE...
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE              5.09                      
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE                  4.95                      
CLARKSVILLE 14.4 WSW                 4.87                      
LORETTO 2.8 NNW                      4.50                      
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW                    4.48                      
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW                   4.23                      
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E                     4.22                      
LEBANON 4.0 SE                       4.21                      
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W                      4.07                      

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW                   3.12                      
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 3.04                      
JASPER 6.7 W                         2.12                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/1500Z 30.5N 89.9W
12HR VT 06/0000Z 32.1N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/1200Z 34.3N 84.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 
36HR VT 07/0000Z 34.7N 83.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 07/1200Z 36.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP