PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 11 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052007
400 AM CDT FRI AUG 17 2007        

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN DRIFTING FARTHER INTO TEXAS AND
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...BUT THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING
CONTINUES...

AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST...JUST
NORTH OF ROCKSPRINGS TEXAS OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION
TEXAS.

A BAND OF HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS
WEST TEXAS AHEAD OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...20 KM/HR...WITH A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS AROUND 1008 MB...29.77
INCHES.

FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS. 

ERIN CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 17 MPH AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED IN WEST TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MAIN
THREAT FOR ORGANIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SHIFT INTO WESTERN TEXAS
TODAY.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 7 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 AM CDT
FRIDAY

...TEXAS...

HOUSTON METRO AREA

LOCKWOOD (HUNTING BAYOU) 	9.61
SENS RD			 	9.25
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU @8TH ST	8.31
SIMS BAYOU @MARTIN LUTHER KING	7.52
SOUTH MCGREGOR WAY	 	7.05
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD            3.18
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL        2.59
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY              2.22
HOUSTON/HULL FIELD              1.12

SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT	9.60
KELLY AFB/SAN ANTONIO		7.22
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT           5.73
6 WSW BOERNE			5.84
HONDO MUNI ARPT                 5.01
PALACIOS MUNI ARPT              3.86
RANDOLPH AFB/UNIVERSAL CITY     3.17
JUNCTION/KIMBLE CO. AIRPORT     2.13
GALVESTON/SCHOLES               2.12
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT              1.69
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT        1.38
ANGLETON/LAKE JACKSON           1.32


REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...30.2 NORTH...AND 100.3
WEST...NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT NEAR 17 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.  REFER TO
YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS
SYSTEM.
 
KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL    17/0900Z 30.2N 100.3W
12HR VT    17/1800Z 30.5N 101.2W
24HR VT    18/0600Z 31.7N 101.7W