BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number  33...Corrected
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL062021
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

Corrected to change Thursday to Wednesday in rainfall hazards
section.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND A FEW TORNADOES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 83.9W
ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM WSW OF ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flood Watches are in effect for portions of north Georgia, the
western Carolinas, eastern Tennessee and Kentucky, southeast
Ohio, West Virginia, extreme southwest and northern
Virginia, Washington D.C., parts of Maryland, Pennsylvania, and New
York.

Tornado Watches are posted over much of South Carolina, western
North Carolina, and southwest Virginia.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred
was located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 83.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 23 mph (37
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:

Through Tonight...
Southern Appalachians...additional 1 to 3 inches of rain, with
isolated maximum storm totals of 10 inches.

Wednesday through Thursday night...
Central Appalachians and interior portions of the Mid-Atlantic
States into the Northeast...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated
maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected.

Heavy rainfall across portions of the Southern and Central
Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic States, and Northeast could lead to
flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. An
increased risk of landslides exists across the mountains of North
Carolina as well as portions of the Blue Ridge Escarpment through
tonight.


For more information on rainfall totals please see the Storm Summary
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

TORNADOES:
A few tornadoes are possible through this evening
across parts of Georgia, the western Carolinas, and southwestern
Virginia.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.


Forecaster Carbin

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/2100Z 34.7N  83.9W   20 KT  25 MPH
 12H  18/0600Z 37.5N  82.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  18/1800Z 39.6N  79.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  19/0600Z 41.5N  76.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  19/1800Z 42.4N  73.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  20/0600Z 42.8N  70.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP