BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number  35
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL062021
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021

...FRED MOVING UP THE APPALACHIANS AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WHILE
SLOWLY TRANSITIONING INTO A NON-TROPICAL LOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.6N 81.8W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF STATE COLLEGE PENNSYLVANIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flood and Flash Flood Watches are in effect for portions of
the southern and central Appalachians as well as sections of the
adjacent Piedmont and Cumberland Plateau.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred was
located near latitude 38.6 North, longitude 81.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h) and
this motion is expected to slow down as the system turns towards
the east over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:

Fred is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts:

Through Tonight...
Eastern Carolinas...additional 1 to 2 inches of rain, with isolated
maximum storm totals of 6 inches.

Through Thursday night...
Upper Ohio Valley, the northern Mid-Atlantic States into New
England...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals
of 6 inches expected.

Heavy rainfall across portions of the Carolinas, Mid-Atlantic
States, and New England could lead to flash, urban, small stream and
isolated river flooding impacts.

For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with
Tropical Depression Fred, see the companion storm summary at
WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link:
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html


For more information on rainfall totals please see the Storm Summary
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

TORNADOES:
A few tornadoes are possible today across parts of the inland
Mid-Atlantic region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.


Forecaster Roth

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  18/0900Z 38.6N  81.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
 12H  18/1800Z 40.5N  80.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  19/0600Z 42.0N  77.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  19/1800Z 43.1N  74.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  20/0600Z 43.3N  70.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  20/1800Z 43.5N  67.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP