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Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) Scientific Presentations

Last updated 04/08/2024

AMS Annual Meeting 2024, Baltimore MD

Correia et al., 2024: My favorite model has improved but has it improved for me? A perspective on forecast evaluation and verification. Session 13.6
Bartolini et al., 2024: The Weather Prediction Center's Winter Weather Experiment: Past Successes, Ongoing Challenges, and Future Plans
Trojniak et al., 2024: Using Average Recurrence Intervals to Identify Intensity Risk in the Day 1 Time-period
Correia et al., 2024: Hatched: The struggle of communicating Intensity with the WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook
Trojniak et al., 2024: Results from the 2023 Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall (FFaIR) Experiment
Nelson, 2024: Probabilistic Forecasting Products and Tool Development at the Weather Prediction Center (WPC)

NWA Annual Meeting 2023, Kansas City MO

Eosco, Williamsberg, Correia, Brost, Scharfenberg, Jeglum, Wilson, Ripberger, 2023: Its an Art and Science! A Crash Course in Communicating Probabilities

AMS Annual Meeting 2023, Denver, CO

Trojniak et al., 2023: Using Average Recurrence Intervals (ARIs) to Identify Heavy Rainfall Risk in the Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall (FFaIR) Experiment
Trojniak et al., 2023: Key Findings from the 2022 Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall (FFaIR) Experiment

An Analysis of the Maximum Rainfall and Timing Product Forecast Activity during the Flash Flooding and Intense Rainfall Experiment 2022

AMS Annual Meeting 2022, Houston, TX

Trojniak et al., 2023: A Brief Review of the Performance of FV3 CAMs during the 2021 Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall (FFaIR) Experiment

NWA Annual Meeting 2022,

Trojniak et al., 2022: Experimenting with the WPC Hydromet Testbed: The Challenges and Opportunities of Virtual Sciencing

AMS Annual Meeting 2021,

Correia 2021: Missing Convective System or Mesoscale Convective System? An evaluation of experimental convection allowing model precipitation guidance during FFaIR 2020
Correia and Brooks, 2021: What is an optimal forecast? Diagramming performance between a ROC and a hard place
Correia, Trojniak , 2022: An interactive, virtual testbed exercise in extreme rainfall forecasting and verification: Introducing the Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall (FFaIR) 2020 Maximum Rainfall and Timing Product (MRTP)
Harnos et al, 2021: The 10th Annual Winter Weather Experiment