TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
837 AM EDT WED APR 10 2024

PRELIMINARY DISCUSSION FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI APR 10/12UTC:
THE REMNANTS OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUE TO THE SOUTH OF
PR/USVI. THIS IS CAUSING DEEPER MOISTURE TO PERSIST OVER THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS...BUT NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED OVER THE
ISLANDS TODAY AND THURSDAY. A SLIGHT MOISTURE INCREASE IS EXPECTED
LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE EAST.
SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED EACH DAY ACROSS PR/USVI...BUT THE
AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY MODEST...WITH DAILY MAX TOTALS UNDER A HALF
AN INCH. HOWEVER...ON FRIDAY...WHEN MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE
HIGHEST OUT OF THE NEXT 5 DAYS...PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND THE
EASTERN INTERIOR OF PR COULD OBSERVE NEAR 0.75 INCHES OF RAIN. THE
USVI ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO OBSERVE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH
OR LESS EACH DAY.

ACROSS THE ATLANTIC...THERE IS A SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE
WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC AS IT SLOWLY MOVES EAST...AND EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BY THIS WEEKEND. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CAUSE NE TO ENE WINDS OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL REMAIN STABLE OVER THE LOCAL
ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS WELL...AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH COULD AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ON MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY.

THE 5-DAY RAINFALL TOTAL FORECAST SUGGESTS NEAR 1.5 TO 2 INCHES
OVER NORTHEASTERN PR. BETWEEN 1.0 AND 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IS
FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF PR. VIEQUES
AND CULEBRA COULD OBSERVE BETWEEN 0.5 AND AN INCH OF RAIN...AND
THE USVI ARE FORECAST BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50 INCHES.

ALAMO...WPC (USA)