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Short Range Public Discussion
 
(Latest Discussion - Issued 2000Z Jun 13, 2021)
 
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Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 359 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021 Valid 00Z Mon Jun 14 2021 - 00Z Wed Jun 16 2021 ...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Central High Plains, Central Gulf Coast, and parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians through Monday morning... ...Building heat, as well as potential fire danger, is forecast for much of the West... Multiple weak fronts and some upper-level impulses will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms east of the Mississippi River to the East Coast through the remainder of the day. Meanwhile, moisture streaming into the Central High Plains and a weak front will trigger showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Central Plains and Southern Plains. The SPC has issued a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over the Central High Plains, Central Gulf Coast, and parts of the northern Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians through Monday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes. On Monday, showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Northeast and along the Gulf Coast into the Southeast. The same general areas will be active on Tuesday as well. Meanwhile, in the West, heat will build through Tuesday as an upper-level ridge expands eastward over the Rockies and the Southwest. Therefore, excessive Heat Watches and Warnings and Heat Advisories are in place, especially from Monday onward for portions of California, the Desert Southwest, and the Great Basin. Hot temperatures in the 90s and even into the 100s will spread eastward into the Northern High Plains into Tuesday. Record high temperatures are expected to be widespread across the Desert Southwest, Intermountain West, and the Rockies through Tuesday evening. Given the heat, dry conditions, and gusty wind, an Elevated Risk of fire danger is in place in the Great Basin for the rest of Sunday into Monday morning, with a Critical Risk for portions of Nevada and Utah on Monday. The Pacific Northwest and Northern California will have light rain as a front over the Pacific Northwest move slowly eastward to Great Basin/Northern High Plains by Tuesday evening. Ziegenfelder Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php