Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
256 PM EST Thu Nov 06 2025

Valid 00Z Fri Nov 07 2025 - 00Z Sun Nov 09 2025

...Turning much colder for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest by
Saturday...

...Some strong to severe thunderstorms possible from the Gulf Coast to the
Ohio Valley on Friday...

...Remaining dry from the Desert Southwest to the southern Plains...

A significant change in the weather pattern is expected across the U.S.
over the next few days. A series of upper-level troughs will move eastward
across the country, with a much stronger trough developing over the Great
Lakes and Upper Midwest by this weekend. This will usher in a much colder
air mass in time for the weekend, particularly for the northern Plains and
Upper Midwest bringing in the coldest air of the season thus far, with
afternoon highs likely remaining below freezing across portions of the
Dakotas and northern Minnesota by Saturday.

For the Pacific Northwest, an atmospheric river will produce rain, along
with heavy snow in the higher elevations of the Cascades through early
Friday. The storm system will then move eastward over the Northern
Rockies. This will likely result in moderate to heavy snow for the higher
elevations of Montana and Wyoming. Conditions improve by Friday night and
into Saturday with drier weather returning.

Across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, an upper-level trough will
intensify over the Great Lakes and move east. A cold front associated with
this system will approach late Friday, bringing a chance of showers along
and ahead of it for the Northeast. There should be enough instability and
upper level dynamics in place for some strong to severe thunderstorms to
develop from the Deep South to the Ohio Valley on Friday, with the highest
chances of this across central Tennessee and into Kentucky. The front will
move through the region overnight into Saturday, but still remaining
pleasant overall for Saturday ahead of the much stronger cold front late
Sunday.

Elsewhere across the nation, dry conditions are expected to continue from
central/southern California eastward to Arkansas and western Louisiana,
with temperatures generally running above normal for this time of year as
the influence of the cold fronts stays to the north through this forecast
period, and turning colder across the southern plains by Sunday as the
cold Canadian high drops farther south.

Hamrick


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php