Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
230 AM EST Sun Nov 09 2025

Valid 12Z Sun Nov 09 2025 - 12Z Tue Nov 11 2025

...Frigid airmass descends into Central U.S. this weekend, spreading into
the East on Monday while the West warms up...

...Snowy, very cold and windy from Northern Plains to Great Lakes this
weekend...

...Critical fire weather in southern Texas today...


Troughing over the eastern half of the country will persist through
midweek, while ridging in the West degrades beneath the arrival of a
transient trough over the Northwest on Monday. A low pressure system will
move through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast over the next couple of days
before exiting into southeastern Canada on Tuesday. Today, moderate to
heavy lake effect snow is expected downwind of the Lakes; beginning over
the Upper Great Lakes today then migrating to the Lower Great Lakes, Ohio
Valley and Central Appalachians by this evening. The Chicago metro area
could receive between 6-12 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts
possible, while Marquette could see over a foot of snow by Tuesday
morning.

Strong winds will also impact the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest through
Monday afternoon, due to a tightening pressure gradient caused by
convergence of the digging trough in the East and the approaching ridge
from the West. Scattered to isolated rain showers and thunderstorms will
spread from the Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic/Northeast today. Rainfall will
quickly come to an end over New England on Monday. An Arctic airmass will
expand from the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley today into the East
Coast on Monday. Overnight lows likely in the 20s and 30s through Monday
night prompted freeze watches and warnings from parts of the Southern
Plains across the Lower Mississippi Valley and into the
Southeast/Mid-Atlantic.

In the West, an upper ridge will generate above average temperatures this
week. A fast moving cold front, beneath a progressive upper trough, will
bring rain showers to the Pacific Northwest tonight. Dry and windy weather
at the base of the digging upper trough will generate critical fire
weather conditions over southern to southeastern Texas today. Red flag
warnings are in effect.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php