Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
314 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

Valid 00Z Wed May 29 2024 - 00Z Fri May 31 2024

...Active central U.S. weather pattern to continue.  Heavy rains, flash
flooding and severe weather possible...

...Heat continues across southern Texas and much of Florida.  Hot temps
begin to build in the interior California Valleys...

...Cooler than average temperatures expected across the mid section of the
nation and much of the East..

The very active and highly impactful late spring weather pattern will
continue across the central U.S. over the next several days.  Initially
activity will concentrate across portions of the Southern Plains from
Oklahoma into Texas from Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday, where there
will be potential for thunderstorms to produce heavy rains, localized
flash flooding and severe weather.  By late Wednesday into Thursday, a
strong frontal boundary will be pushing eastward into the Northern to
Central High Plains.  This will help focus the next round of active
weather farther to the north as thunderstorms blossom Wednesday afternoon
across eastern Montana, eastern Wyoming and northeast Colorado and then
push east into the Northern to Central High Plains.  Severe weather, heavy
rain and isolated flash flooding will be possible across these areas.  The
focus for the next round of impactful thunderstorms on Thursday will then
be shifting back to the south across portions of the Central and Southern
Plains across eastern Nebraska, much of Kansas, Oklahoma and northern
Texas.  Additional heavy rains, flash flooding and severe thunderstorms
will be possible across these areas as well.

The active central U.S. weather pattern will keep temperatures below
average over the next few days due to the clouds and rainfall.  Hot
temperatures, however, look like they will continue across southern Texas
and across large portions of Florida. Record high afternoon temperatures
and record high morning low temperatures are possible across portions of
South and Southwest Florida over the next two days.  Record high morning
lows also possible across portions of South and coastal Texas Wednesday
and Thursday morning.  Heat will also be increasing by mid to late week in
the interior valleys of California.  However, temperatures are expected to
remain below record high values.

A broad mid to upper level trough centered from eastern Canada, south
through the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Northeast will support below
average temperatures mid to late week across large portions of the East. 
Widespread scattered afternoon showers are possible Tuesday from the Lower
Lake into the Ohio Valley and on Wednesday across the Central Appalachians
into portions of the Mid-Atlantic. 


Oravec

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php