Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
245 AM EDT Sat Jun 06 2026

Valid 12Z Sat Jun 06 2026 - 12Z Mon Jun 08 2026

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of
the Middle Mississippi Valley/Central Plains, and Southern Plains on
Saturday and over the Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley on Sunday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of
the Middle Mississippi Valley/Central Plains, and Southern Plains on
Sunday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts
of the Central Plains, and Middle Mississippi Valley on Saturday and over
parts of the Northern High Plains, Ohio Valley, and Northeast on Sunday...

Upper-level energy and moisture flowing northward off the Gulf of Mexico
will help produce showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Southern
Plains, Southern Rockies, and the Lower Mississippi Valley from Saturday
into Sunday. On Saturday, showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy
rain over the Southern Plains. Therefore, the WPC issued a Slight Risk
(level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern Plains
through Sunday morning. The associated heavy rain will mainly cause
localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and
low-lying areas most vulnerable.

Moreover, a front extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the Central
Plains will move eastward to the Northeast by Sunday morning. The boundary
will trigger showers and severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and the Central Plains on Saturday.
Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Central Plains and the Middle Mississippi
Valley through Sunday morning. The hazards associated with these
thunderstorms include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the
threat of tornadoes.

In addition, the showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rain.
Therefore, the WPC issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall
over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley/Central Plains through Sunday
morning. The associated heavy rain will mainly cause localized flash
flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas most
vulnerable.

On Sunday, the front moving into the Northeast/Ohio Valley will produce
severe thunderstorms. Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level
2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Northeast/Ohio Valley
through Monday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the threat of
tornadoes.

Furthermore, heavy rain will develop over part of the Southern Plains and
adjacent areas of the Lower Mississippi Valley. Therefore, the WPC issued
a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern
Plains/ Lower Mississippi Valley through Sunday morning. The associated
heavy rain will mainly cause localized flash flooding, with urban areas,
roads, small streams, and low-lying areas most vulnerable.

Also, a front moving over the Northern High Plains will trigger showers
and severe thunderstorms.  Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk
(level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Northern High Plains
through Sunday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the threat of
tornadoes.

Showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Middle/Lower
Mississippi Valley and Central/Southern Plains, producing heavy rain on
Sunday. Therefore, the WPC issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive
rainfall over parts of the Central/Southern Plains and Middle/Lower
Mississippi Valley on Sunday through Monday morning. The associated heavy
rain will mainly cause localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads,
small streams, and low-lying areas most vulnerable.

A second front moving eastward out of the Northern Rockies into the
Northern High Plains will produce showers and severe thunderstorms over
parts of the region. Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level
2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Northern High Plains
through Sunday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the threat of
tornadoes.

Elsewhere, onshore flow over the Pacific Northwest will produce rain over
the area through Sunday morning.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php