Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
421 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Valid 12Z Wed Jun 10 2026 - 12Z Fri Jun 12 2026

...There is an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes on Wednesday, and
over the Great Lakes/Middle Mississippi Valley on Thursday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of
the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes on Wednesday and
Thursday...

A front extending from the Northern Plains to the Central Plains on
Wednesday will move eastward to the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley to the
Southern Plains by Friday morning, triggering showers and severe
thunderstorms over the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes.
Therefore, the SPC has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley/Great
Lakes through Thursday morning. The hazards associated with these
thunderstorms include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the
threat of tornadoes.

In addition, the showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rain.
Therefore, the WPC issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall
over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes through
Thursday morning. The associated heavy rain will mainly cause localized
flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying
areas most vulnerable.

Moreover, showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the
Northeast/Mid-Atlantic, Southeastern Texas, and Florida on Wednesday.
Furthermore, showers and thunderstorms will be created along and east of
the dryline over the Southern Plains during the late afternoon into the
late evening hours.

On Thursday, the showers and severe thunderstorms move eastward with the
associated boundary over the Great Lakes/Ohio/Middle Mississippi Valleys.
Therefore, the SPC has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Great Lakes/Ohio and the Middle
Mississippi Valleys from Thursday through Friday morning. The hazards
associated with these thunderstorms include frequent lightning, severe
wind gusts, hail, and the threat of tornadoes. Also, on Thursday, showers
and thunderstorms will move into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast in the
afternoon and into the late evening.

The showers and severe thunderstorms will produce heavy rain. Therefore,
the WPC issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts
of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes from Thursday through
Friday morning. The associated with the heavy rain will mainly cause
localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and
low-lying areas most vulnerable.

On Friday, the showers and thunderstorms will advance farther eastward
over the Lower Great Lakes/Ohio /Middle Mississippi Valleys into the
Southern Plains. Light rain will develop over parts of the Northeast, and
showers and thunderstorms will develop over Florida. Moreover, on Friday,
showers will move into parts of the Southwest. Meanwhile, onshore flow
will produce rain and the highest-elevation snow over parts of the
Northwest and the Northern Intermountain Region through Wednesday evening.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php