Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
552 PM EDT Sun Mar 08 2026

Valid 00Z Mon Mar 09 2026 - 00Z Wed Mar 11 2026

...Lower elevation coastal/valley rain and high elevation snow continues
for the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies...

...Shower and thunderstorm chances will linger across the Southeast with a
severe weather threat for the Lower Mississippi Valley Monday and the
Midwest on Tuesday...

...Well above average temperatures across most of the country will
continue into the first half of the week...

Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to increase in coverage and
intensity from Arkansas to Alabama through Monday along a stationary
frontal boundary. There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms across
the region with the potential for large hail and damaging winds with the
stronger storms that develop, and heavy rainfall that may lead to some
localized instances of flooding. An even more active weather pattern
emerges from the southern Plains to the Midwest on Tuesday as a stronger
front approaches the region that will be intercepting an increasingly more
humid air mass. An Enhanced Risk of severe weather is valid from northern
Missouri to central Illinois where the more favorable parameters for
severe storms will exist. Heavy rainfall also becomes more likely going
into Tuesday evening and into early Wednesday across the Midwest as
multiple rounds of storms affect the same areas.

Out West, coastal/valley rain and mountain snow will remain in place
across western Oregon and Washington as flow from the Pacific moves across
the region, and a heavier rainfall event is on the horizon going into
Tuesday night and Wednesday with a potential atmospheric river event.
Lighter snows are likely across the northern Rockies with a few inches of
accumulation likely. In addition, high winds across much of Montana on
Sunday are expected to subside some going into Monday, but still quite
breezy. Fire weather concerns will be in place over western portions of
Nebraska and also near the Texas Panhandle and northeast New Mexico on
Monday with elevated winds and very low humidity.

Temperatures will continue to be very spring-like across a large expanse
of the central and southern U.S., with readings well above normal
extending up to the Great Lakes and South Dakota. After a delayed warm-up
from persistent cold air damming across the northern Mid-Atlantic and the
Northeast, it will also feel more spring-like across this region. A strong
cold front then approaches from the Midwest and brings a return to more
typical conditions for early March from the central Plains to the Great
Lakes by the middle of the week, while anomalous warmth continues for the
Eastern U.S.

Hamrick


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php