Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
254 PM EST Fri Nov 15 2019

Valid 00Z Sat Nov 16 2019 - 00Z Mon Nov 18 2019

...Coastal storm to bring heavy rains, high winds, and high surf to much
of the Outer Banks this weekend...

...Below normal temperatures continue from the Ohio Valley to the Eastern
Seaboard...

...Rain and snow showers will accompany a front as it moves from the
Northern Rockies to the Upper Mississippi Valley...

The big story for the short range period is with a developing surface low
off the Southeast coast, expected to intensify as it moves slowly
northward this weekend. Moderate to heavy rainfall and strong winds will
focus across mainly the Outer Banks of North Carolina, with flash flooding
possible. High waves and coastal flooding will also be a threat with this
system through the weekend before it finally begins lifting away from the
coast late Sunday.

The weather should be relatively quiet across the remainder of the country
this weekend. High pressure in the wake of the coastal system will settle
in across the Eastern U.S. keeping temperatures near to below normal.
Daytime highs could be 10 to 20 degrees below normal, mainly across
portions of the Ohio Valley and along much of the Eastern Seaboard.
Meanwhile, the West will be above normal underneath of persistent upper
level ridging. Weak disturbances rounding the top of the ridge may bring
snow to the higher elevations in the Northwest. In between, a front
crossing the north-central U.S. will bring periods of scattered rain and
snow showers from the northern Rockies/Plains to the Upper Mississippi
Valley. Light snow accumulations are possible across parts of northern
Wisconsin and northeast Minnesota.

Santorelli

Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php