Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
335 PM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026

Valid 00Z Wed Jul 08 2026 - 00Z Fri Jul 10 2026

...Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Expected from the Northern to Central
Plains and Upper Midwest...

...Dangerous Heat Continues Across the Southeast and Southwest...

...Elevated to Critical Fire Weather Threat Across Portions of the West...

A slow-moving frontal boundary extending across the northern Plains into
the upper Midwest will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms
developing later today and continuing into the overnight hours. Some of
these storms are expected to become strong to severe, with large hail and
damaging winds possible, especially from the Montana and Wyoming High
Plains eastward into southern Minnesota.

On Wednesday, the severe weather threat shifts farther south and east,
with the greatest potential for severe thunderstorms extending from the
upper Great Lakes southwestward into the central Plains. In addition to
severe wind and hail, locally heavy rainfall may lead to areas of flash
flooding. By Thursday, the front pushes east of the Great Lakes while
lingering across the central Plains, supporting another round of showers
and thunderstorms, including the potential for additional severe weather.

Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along a stalled frontal
boundary extending from Virginia and North Carolina westward into the Ohio
and Tennessee Valleys.

Across the Southeast, hot and humid conditions will persist and likely
intensify through midweek. Above-normal temperatures, high humidity, and
warm overnight lows will continue to increase the risk of heat-related
illnesses, especially for those without access to adequate cooling or
hydration. Temperatures will also remain above normal across portions of
the Southwest, where Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in
effect across parts of Arizona and southern California.

Mostly dry conditions are expected west of the Rockies. Dry fuels, low
relative humidity, and gusty winds will support elevated to locally
critical fire weather conditions across portions of the Cascades, Sierra
Nevada, Great Basin, and Four Corners region through midweek.

Pereira

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php