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Short Range Public Discussion
 
(Caution: Version displayed is not the latest version. - Issued 0748Z May 14, 2024)
 
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Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 348 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Valid 12Z Tue May 14 2024 - 12Z Thu May 16 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding will impact portions of the Gulf Coast and the Southeast on Tuesday... ...Above-average temperatures expected for South Florida and the West... Wet and unsettled weather is in store for the Gulf Coast and Southeast today thanks to a slow-moving frontal boundary. Showers and thunderstorms across this region have the potential to turn severe and will be capable of producing heavy rain. SPC has a Slight Risk for severe weather, indicating the potential exists for multiple corridors of damaging winds, very large hail, and a one or two tornadoes covering central/northern Florida and southern Georgia. Additionally, WPC has a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall and local flash flooding highlighted for much of the same area as the severe weather threat while a broader Marginal Risk spans northward to the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic regions. As the system advances eastward the threats for severe storms and heavy rainfall will reduce for Wednesday to a Marginal Risk. Showers and storms over the lower Missouri an Mid-Mississippi valleys to the Ohio Valley will spread east through the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast today. A brief window of drier weather over the Mississippi Valley into early Wednesday will be followed by the next round of showers and storms that will begin to spread into the region by late Wednesday. Before impacting the central U.S. on Wednesday, this previously noted system will spread showers and storms followed by much cooler temperatures from the Northern Rockies into Central Rockies and High Plains on Tuesday. South Florida will continue to have well above-normal, with near to record high temperatures through Wednesday. Meanwhile, warmer temperatures will spread across the western states reaching well-above normal highs across the region by midweek. Campbell Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php