Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
232 AM EST Sun Jan 11 2026

Valid 12Z Sun Jan 11 2026 - 12Z Tue Jan 13 2026

...Wintry mix lingers over parts of the Northeast and New England; snow
squalls and lake enhanced snow to spread from the Midwest into the
Northeast...

...Moderate to locally heavy rainfall expected over coastal Washington...

...Warm-up in store for much of the Nation next week...

Across much of the Lower 48, relatively tranquil weather is expected for
the next two days as high pressure settles overhead in the wake of the
latest cold front passage. The main exception will fall over the Hudson
Valley and Upper New England as a wintry mix of elevation snow, rain, and
freezing rain shift eastward over the next 12-18 hours on the northern
flank of a developing coastal low. For much of the area, a light glazing
of ice remains the biggest hazard with this event, although heavy snow is
expected over portions of northern Maine. Behind this activity, a round of
snow squalls and lake effect snow bands will also sweep across the Ohio
Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast along a secondary cold front.
Light accumulations upwards of an inch are possible with this activity,
which could lead to rapid reductions in visibility and flash freezes
today. Downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario, the fresh injection of cold air
behind the secondary front should lead to 4-6" of fresh powder through
Monday. 

At the same time, moderate atmospheric river conditions will continue
through Monday over coastal Washington. 3-4" of rain can be expected along
the windward side of the Olympic Range, although fortunately no excessive
rainfall threat is anticipated. Otherwise, much of the Nation can expect a
rapid warm-up beginning tomorrow beneath an expansive upper-level ridge.
The most anomalous warmth will be found across the Nation's Heartland,
where by Monday high temperatures could climb into the 50's and 60's --
nearly 20-25 degrees above average.

Asherman


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php