Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
215 AM EST Thu Jan 08 2026

Valid 12Z Thu Jan 08 2026 - 12Z Sat Jan 10 2026

...Impactful snow for southeastern Colorado into New Mexico Thursday night
into Friday. Chances for impactful snow for Upper Midwest into Great Lakes
Friday night into Saturday...

...Flash flooding and severe weather threat across the Lower Mississippi
and Tennessee Valleys Friday...

...Record warmth for much of the Southeast to Ohio Valley Thursday into
Friday...

The cold front that has moved into the Central Great Basin and Central
Rockies from the Pacific Northwest will continue to move southeastward,
bringing chances for some mixed precipitation over the Four Corners and
portions of the Interior West today. With sufficient moisture, upslope
flow, and cold surface temperatures, chances for moderate to locally heavy
snowfall will increase, especially over parts of southeastern Colorado and
New Mexico. With the chances for heavy snow and gusty winds, travel
conditions will be hazardous. Several areas within the Four Corners have
issued Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings through Friday.
As the cold front pushes northeastward into the Upper Midwest and Great
Lakes by Friday, chances for heavy snow increases as another wave drops
southward from Canada.

Chances for unsettled weather and widespread precipitation continues
through Friday, as the surface low and the associated frontal system moves
eastward across the Central/Southern Plains into the Ohio and Tennessee
Valley. As the southwesterly flow continues to pull sufficient moisture
from the Gulf, chances for heavier rainfall and flash flooding will
increase as the system progresses east. The Weather Prediction Center has
issued a Slight risk (level 2/4) for Excessive Rainfall for portions of
the Tennessee Valley and Deep South for Friday. In addition, the Storm
Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for severe
thunderstorms over Oklahoma into parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley
for Thursday and a Slight Risk (level 2/5) for the lower Mississippi
Valley into parts of the Mid-South and Southeast.

With the upper-level ridge continuing to move from Central U.S. to Eastern
U.S. and the southerly flow transporting warmer air northward, the warming
trend will continue over the next few days. Temperatures will reach above
normal temperatures of 20-35 degrees across parts of the Plains, Midwest,
Ohio Valley, and portions of the Northeast. Temperatures are expected to
reach between 70s and 80s Thursday through Friday across the Southern
Plains into Southeast and parts of the Mid-Atlantic, which may break daily
records. Otherwise, much of Western U.S. will see a cooling trend as a
cold front moves eastward into the Plains. Temperatures will drop into the
30s to 50s, which will be 5-15 degrees below normal. Heading into the
weekend, temperatures began to return to near normal seasonal temperatures
across CONUS.

Oudit


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php