Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on X
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
  GOES-East Satellite
  GOES-West Satellite
  National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
   Winter Weather
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   WPC History
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Short Range Public Discussion
 
(Latest Discussion - Issued 1830Z Nov 24, 2025)
 
Version Selection
Versions back from latest:  0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   
 
Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product
 
Geographic Boundaries -  Map 1: Color  Black/White       Map 2: Color  Black/White

Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 128 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025 Valid 00Z Tue Nov 25 2025 - 00Z Thu Nov 27 2025 ...A stretch snow expected to begin near the Canadian border of Montana today into tonight, then across the northern Plains on Tuesday, and into the upper Great Lakes Tuesday night into Wednesday morning... ...Flash flood and severe weather threats will gradually move through the Arklatex region today, reaching into the Tennessee Valley and interior Deep South/Southeast on Tuesday... ...Well above average temperatures continue for much of the central/eastern U.S. with colder temperatures over the Pacific Northwest into the Great Plains... An upper-level trough continues to build over the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains bringing chances for active weather across the Intermountain West, Pacific Northwest, and part of the Rockies. Unsettled weather will continue as the trough gradually dips into the Central Plains by mid-week. As the moisture from the frontal system moves over higher elevation, expect chances for freezing rain and moderate to heavy snow across portions of the Northern Rockies as a result of colder temperatures and orographic lift. As the trough amplifies and the strengthening low moves eastward tonight, chances for snow increases over the Northern Plains, Upper Midwest, and Upper Great Lakes going into Wednesday. By early Tuesday morning, expect moments of moderate to heavy snow bands to move through Northern Montana and parts of North Dakota, along with an increase in gusty winds due pressure gradient tightening. Forecasted snowfall amounts may vary, but expect between 4-8" across parts of the Northern Rockies, Northern Plains, and Upper Midwest by late Tuesday. By early Wednesday another frontal system and surge of moisture moves into the Pacific Northwest, bringing chances for precipiation and high-elevation snow. The surface low pressure over the south-central Plains will slowly move eastward, but will continue to bring rounds of showers and thunderstorms over the Mid-South and parts of the Tennessee Valley. In addition, moisture from the Gulf will continue to push northward and the southerly flow will funnel in warm and moist air into the frontal system, increasing the chances for severe storms along the ArkLaTex area. With increase instability, a modestly strong low-level jet, and ample low-level moisture, Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continues to highlight a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms (level 2/5) across areas of east Texas into Mississippi through Tuesday, with a slight chance that this system may produce strong gusty winds and hail. In addition, the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall, with chances of flooding over the ArkLaTex area. As the the low pressure system travels northeast, expect chances for widespread showers and thunderstorms stretching from the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic Tuesday going into Wednesday. As the ridge continues to build over Eastern U.S., max temperatures will continue to trend 5-10 degrees above normal over much of the Eastern/Central U.S. Temperatures will range between 70s and 80s near South-central/Southeast U.S., near 50s and 60s over Central Plains and Mid Ohio Valleys, and within the 40s to 50s near Upper-Midwest/Great Lakes. Over parts of Western U.S. the cold front will bring colder temperatures, with slightly below seasonal temperatures, especially over higher elevations. Temperatures are forecasted to reach in the 30s across much of the Rockies and Northern/Central Plains. Close to normal temperatures along the Southwest and along the much of the West Coast, with temperatures in the 50s and 60s. Oudit Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php