Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
356 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024

Valid 00Z Fri Oct 11 2024 - 00Z Sun Oct 13 2024

...MILTON continues to move eastward over the Atlantic Ocean...

...There is a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
northeastern Florida Peninsula...

MILTON will become extra-tropical by Thursday evening while moving
eastward over the Atlantic Ocean. Water levels from ongoing flooding and
storm surge will remain elevated and dangerous until the water has
receded. As attention turns to recovery efforts, be aware of areas that
remain flooded and do not drive through flooded roadways.

Rain, moderate to heavy at times, will continue over the northeastern
portion of the Florida Peninsula. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Marginal
Risk (level 1/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the northeastern
Florida Peninsula through Friday morning.  The associated heavy rain will
create localized areas of flash flooding, affecting areas that experience
rapid runoff with heavy rain.

Meanwhile, an upper-level trough over the Northeast will produce light
rain over parts of the Northeast through late Thursday night. Moreover,
another area of upper-level energy over parts of the Central/Southern
Plains will trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms over the region
through Friday afternoon. Further, on Friday, easterly flow off the
Atlantic will produce rain showers over parts of the Florida Peninsula
through Saturday evening. 

A front extending from the Northern Plains to the Northern Rockies and
then into the Northern Intermountain Region will move eastward to off the
Northeast Coast by Saturday evening while extending westward across the
Ohio Valley to the Central Plains. The system will produce scattered light
rain over parts of the Upper Great Lakes late Friday morning, ending by
Friday night. As the boundary pushes into the Northeast, the system will
create light rain showers over parts of the Northeast through Saturday
evening. Additional upper-level energy will move across the Upper Midwest
on Saturday morning and will produce light rain over parts of the Upper
Midwest, extending into the Great Lakes by Saturday evening.

Furthermore, upper-level energy moving onshore over Northern California
and the Pacific Northwest will trigger rain over parts of Northern
California from early Saturday morning to Saturday evening.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php