Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Twitter
NCEP Quarterly Newsletter
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
  GOES-East Satellite
  GOES-West Satellite
  National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
   Winter Weather
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   Staff
   WPC History
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Short Range Public Discussion
 
(Caution: Version displayed is not the latest version. - Issued 1959Z May 13, 2024)
 
Version Selection
Versions back from latest:  0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   
 
Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product
 
Geographic Boundaries -  Map 1: Color  Black/White       Map 2: Color  Black/White

Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 359 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 00Z Tue May 14 2024 - 00Z Thu May 16 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding will impact portions of the Gulf Coast tonight and the Southeast on Tuesday... ...Above-average temperatures expected for South Florida and the West... A slow-moving frontal boundary extending along the Gulf Coast will remain a focus for unsettled weather, with severe thunderstorms and heavy rain expected to impact portions of the region through Tuesday. Ongoing showers and storms are likely to continue through tonight, with severe storms expected from south-central and southeast Texas across southern Louisiana, as well as the Florida Panhandle. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has highlighted these areas with an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) for severe weather, indicating the potential exists for multiple corridors of damaging winds, very large hail, and a few tornadoes. In addition to the severe weather threat, abundant moisture pooling along front will support heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding. A Slight Risk (level 2/4) for excessive rainfall extends along the Gulf Coast from southeast Texas through the Florida Panhandle, with a Moderate Risk (level 3/4) from southeast Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Drier air will push through the western Gulf Coast, confining the threat for severe storms and heavy rainfall to northern Florida and southern Georgia on Tuesday. SPC is indicating a Slight Risk (level 2/5) for severe weather and WPC is highlighting the area with a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall. Further to the north, a low pressure system will drift slowly east, spreading showers and thunderstorms from the lower Missouri and mid Mississippi valleys to the Ohio Valley tonight. Showers and storms will continue across these areas on Tuesday while expanding east through the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast. Unsettled weather will persist across the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast through Wednesday. A brief window of drier weather over the Mississippi Valley late Tuesday into early Wednesday will be followed by the next round of showers and storms that will begin to spread into the region by late Wednesday. Before impacting the central U.S. on Wednesday, this previously noted system will spread showers and storms followed by much cooler temperatures from the northern Rockies into central Rockies and High Plains on Tuesday. Temperatures will remain well above-normal, with near to record high temperatures expected across South Florida Tuesday and Wednesday. While not expected to be record-setting, temperatures will build across much of the West, reaching well-above normal highs across the region by midweek. Pereira Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php