Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Twitter
NCEP Quarterly Newsletter
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
  GOES-East Satellite
  GOES-West Satellite
  National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
   Winter Weather
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   Staff
   WPC History
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Short Range Public Discussion
 
(Caution: Version displayed is not the latest version. - Issued 1957Z Oct 02, 2022)
 
Version Selection
Versions back from latest:  0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   
 
Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product
 
Geographic Boundaries -  Map 1: Color  Black/White       Map 2: Color  Black/White

Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 357 PM EDT Sun Oct 02 2022 Valid 00Z Mon Oct 03 2022 - 00Z Wed Oct 05 2022 ...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Great Basin through Monday morning... ...There are Freeze Warning and Frost Advisories over parts of the Northeast into the Great Lakes late Sunday into Monday morning... ...Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees below average over parts of the Mid-Atlantic... An upper-level low over the Mid-Atlantic will keep clouds and showers over the region through Tuesday. Moisture streaming inland off the Atlantic will produce rain that may be heavy at times over parts of the Mid-Atlantic. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Mid-Atlantic through Monday morning. The associated heavy rain will create localized areas of flash flooding, affecting areas that experience rapid runoff with heavy rain. The threat of excessive rainfall continues on Monday with a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over the immediate Mid-Atlantic Coast. The threat of excessive rainfall ends on Tuesday. However, the clouds and rain will keep temperatures 10 to 15 degrees below average on Monday. In addition, strong high pressure over parts of Eastern Canada will provide clear skies and calm wind, allowing temperatures to cool off overnight, prompting Freeze Warning and Frost Advisories over parts of the Northeast into the Great Lakes late Sunday into Monday morning. Meanwhile, a second upper-level low over the Northern Rockies will slowly drift to the Northern Plains by Tuesday. Moisture pooling over the Southwest and the upper-level energy will aid in producing heavy rain and thunderstorms over parts of the eastern Great Basin, Southwest, and Central/Southern Rockies. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the eastern Great Basin through Monday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and burn scars the most vulnerable. The threat of excessive rainfall decreases slightly on Monday over parts of the Southwest, Great Basin, and Central/Southern Rockies. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the region from Monday into Tuesday morning. The associated heavy rain will create localized areas of flash flooding, affecting areas that experience rapid runoff and burn scars. On Tuesday, the Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall is limited to parts of the far eastern Southwest and parts of the Central/Southern Rockies. Ziegenfelder Graphics are available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php