Weather Prediction Center

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Valid 00Z Fri Jun 12 2026 - 00Z Sun Jun 14 2026

...Severe weather and heavy rainfall threat continues in the Central and
Eastern U.S...

...Hazardous heat to focus over the Southern and Eastern U.S...

Daily chances for severe weather and heavy rainfall will continue into the
weekend as a frontal system pivots across the Nation's midsection. The
most widespread and impactful round of severe weather is expected to
impact portions of the Midwest (including the Chicago and Quad Cities
areas) this afternoon, where Tornado and Flood Watches are in effect as
thunderstorms rapidly expand in coverage and intensity over the next few
hours. A separate (but less intense) area of severe weather is also
possible today over portions of the Ohio Valley and Northeast this
afternoon ahead of a weakening lead cold front. By tomorrow afternoon,
stormy skies will be commonplace across much of the Northeast and
Mid-Atlantic as the main cold front approaches from the west, which could
produce scattered severe wind gusts. Eventually, organized thunderstorms
capable of both severe weather and excessive rainfall will re-focus over
the Central Plains on Saturday as the main cold front stalls and begins to
meander northward.

Thunderstorms aside, hazardous heat remains a concern over the Southern
and Eastern U.S. owing to the combination of high humidity, hot daytime
temperatures, and warm overnight temperatues. In fact, by tomorrow many
daily high temperature records could fall along the Eastern Seaboard from
Georgia to New York as temperatures climb towards triple digit readings.
As such, the latest experimental NWS HeatRisk outlook suggests major to
locally extreme heat impacts are possible through Saturday from the Lower
Mississippi Valley to the Northeast as the potent heat sets in.

Asherman


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
210 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Valid 12Z Sun Jun 14 2026 - 12Z Thu Jun 18 2026


...Heat building across the West later this weekend into early
next week...

...Heavy rainfall and flooding threat across the southern Plains,
Lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast...


...Overview...

An unseasonably amplified pattern will be in place across the
Continental U.S. for the latter half of the weekend into next week
as a broad upper trough consolidates over the central and eastern
U.S. early in the period before slowly moving east later on. A
frontal boundary ahead of the trough is forecast to gradually sink
south and east across the south-central to southeastern U.S.,
focusing moisture for rain and thunderstorms. Some rain could be
heavy and lead to flooding concerns. Upstream, upper ridging will
build across the West Coast through early next week, leading to hot
temperatures that will be well above average in the Pacific
Northwest. The amplified pattern then may become increasingly zonal
mid to late next week.


...Guidance/Predictability Assessment...

Model guidance continues to have a solid handle on the evolution
of the large scale pattern through most of the medium range period,
featuring a West Coast ridge and a broad central to eastern U.S.
trough. This amplified pattern may turn more zonal by mid to late
week as incoming shortwave energies potentially flatten the ridge
while the trough lifts out. The smaller scale spatial and temporal
details of these shortwaves are still somewhat unclear by midweek
and beyond, but the general pattern late in the period certainly
doesn't look nearly as amplified as it does early on.

Due to the broad overall agreement between the deterministic
models, the WPC forecast continues to utilize a multi-model blend
of recent guidance for the early part of the fronts and pressures
forecast. By Day 6 and 7, more weighting (20 to 40 percent) was
placed on the EC and GEFS ensemble means to reduce individual model
differences.


...Weather/Hazards Highlights...

A potent cold front is forecast to slowly move southeast across
the southern tier from late this weekend into next week, providing
a focus for heavy rain and thunderstorms. Ample moisture and
instability interacting with the generally west to east oriented
front will mean a flash flooding threat is possible with the
potential for training storms. The greatest threat will be focused
from the Ark-La-Tex toward central Mississippi on Sunday and then
slightly farther south from southeast Texas to Alabama by Monday as
the front progresses. Slight Risks are present in both the Day
4/Sunday and Day 5/Monday EROs-- see the new Day 4-5 ERO discussion
for more. Areas of heavy rain are likely to continue across the
Gulf Coast states on Tuesday and Wednesday as the front continues
to move slowly southward.

Elsewhere, rain and thunderstorms are also possible from the
Appalachians to the Eastern Seaboard Sunday into Monday along and
ahead of the northern part of the front. Meanwhile, the back end of
the front may produce some light to moderate rain over the Rockies
and Four Corners states into early next week. A secondary front
and shortwave energies could also bring some scattered showers and
storms to the north-central Plains, Midwest, and Great Lakes on
Monday and beyond.

Hot and humid conditions will persist from the southern Plains to
the Southeast on Sunday as a subtropical upper ridge will be in
place south of the upper trough. The Eastern Seaboard can expect
generally above normal temperatures Sunday as well, but moderated
from the intense heat in the short range period. Cooler than
average temperatures are likely underneath the upper trough and
behind the cold front in the north-central U.S., spreading into the
South and East as the week progresses while moderating. Meanwhile,
the West will be rather warm under the upper ridge. The Desert
Southwest can expect temperatures well into the 100s and perhaps
over 110 into much of next week, with warmer than average
temperatures extending into the central Great Basin. Above average
temperatures should also be present in the Pacific Northwest early
next week. Daily record highs could be broken as temperatures reach
the 90s to perhaps 100 in the Willamette Valley and 80s farther
north toward Seattle. Widespread Moderate to scattered Major
HeatRisk is forecast for much of the West. Temperatures should
gradually moderate in the Pacific Northwest, but above normal
conditions will push east across the Intermountain West and reach
the Plains by midweek.


Tate/Miller


Additional 3-7 Day Hazard information can be found on the WPC
medium range hazards outlook chart at:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/threats/threats.php

WPC medium range 500mb heights, surface systems, weather grids,
quantitative precipitation forecast, excessive rainfall outlook,
winter weather outlook probabilities, heat indices and Key Messages
are at:

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst500_wbg.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg_conus.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/5km_grids/5km_gridsbody.html
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4-7.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/pwpf_d47/pwpf_medr.php?day=4
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heat_index.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ovw

Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
445 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Valid 00Z Fri 12 Jun 2026 - 00Z Fri 19 Jun 2026

Early in the period, global guidance shows an upper-level trough
centered well north of the islands with an associated cold front
positioned to the northwest. The regional pressure gradient will
be weak across the state as surface high pressure is shunted well
off to the northeast. The front is expected to stall and
dissipate well northwest of the islands and by early next week
high pressure is forecast to build back in north of the islands,
bringing a return to more typical easterly trade winds.

A return of deeper moisture is expected across the state late
Sunday into Monday, with positive precipitable water anomalies
largely persisting through the remainder of the extended period.
This incoming moisture will become increasingly focused along
windward slopes and mauka areas as the trade winds inversion re-
establishes itself under the building high pressure.

Pereira

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
359 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026
Day 1
Valid 16Z Thu Jun 11 2026 - 12Z Fri Jun 12 2026

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE
MIDWEST...

.Midwest to southern Plains...

16Z update... Several locations picked up 1 to 4 inches of rain
overnight for the Midwest/Upper Midwest with the organized
convection; prolonging the multi-day wet pattern for much of Iowa
and ongoing areal flooding. Training and backbuilding of
thunderstorms are expected to persist during the afternoon and into
the evening hours for parts of Iowa and Illinois which will keep an
elevated threat for scattered flash flooding while another round
of convection lifts northeast into Wisconsin and Michigan with
hourly rainfall rates. The Slight Risk area was expanded northward along
the northern boundary in Wisconsin and lower Michigan. Refer to WPC
MPD 384 for additional details.

Campbell

Early this morning, a frontal wave developed over the central
Plains ahead of a strong upper level trough that will lift into the
Midwest today. This wave of low pressure is forecast to surge
northeast into the Midwest and be accompanied by an area of
enhanced convection in the vicinity of the low. A strengthening low
level jet on the leading edge of this disturbance will bring a
surge of moisture (PWAT values > 2 inches) and instability (MUCAPE
> 3000 J/kg) into the Midwest and create a sheared environment that
will allow for organized convection with highly efficient rainfall
rates up to 2-4 inches per hour. A Slight Risk of excessive
rainfall is in effect for portions of the Midwest where the hi-res
CAMs are showing the highest rainfall totals. There was some
consideration of upgrading to a Moderate Risk for portions of Iowa,
Wisconsin, and Illinois given recent heavy rains and soil
saturation, but the highest rainfall totals today are forecast to
be displaced to the north of where the heaviest rain fell on
Wednesday, which should keep the risk of flash flooding more in
line with a high-end Slight. On the backside of the frontal wave,
the cold front will surge southeast across the central and southern
Plains this afternoon with showers and storms expected to form
along the front. Given the highly moist and unstable environment on
the warm side of the boundary, these storms will be capable of
producing high rainfall rates, but the progressive nature of the
front should help limit the risk of flash flooding. A Marginal Risk
area extends back into the southern Plains where locally heavy
rainfall may lead to isolated instances of flash flooding.

.Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic...

An upper level shortwave trough is expected to move southeast
across the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic today, which will provide
upper level support for the development of scattered showers and
storms this afternoon. Warm, moist air will be in place across
these regions, with PWAT values generally ranging from 1.75-2
inches, which will support rainfall rates of 1-2 inches. Elevated
instability (>2000 J/kg) should allow for some deeper convective
cells that will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall.
Isolated instances of flash flooding will be possible, especially
if heavy rain occurs in urban environments, so there is a Marginal
Risk of excessive rainfall extending from the Ohio Valley to the
Mid-Atlantic. Northwesterly upslope flow will also result in
enhanced precipitation totals along the central Appalachians that
could create isolated flooding concerns in this region as well,
which is included in the Marginal Risk area.

.Southwest Florida...

Southeasterly flow has increased PWAT values above 2 inches across
Central and South Florida, which will allow for very heavy
rainfall rates of 2-4 inches per hour in convection along the sea
breeze boundaries this afternoon. Hi-res CAMs show the Atlantic and
Gulf sea breezes colliding over Southwest Florida, which could
result in flash flooding concerns for urban areas. Therefore, there
is a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall for urban areas along the
west coast of the Florida Peninsula from Tampa south.

Dolan


Day 1 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94epoints.txt

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
359 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026
Day 2
Valid 12Z Fri Jun 12 2026 - 12Z Sat Jun 13 2026

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TO THE NORTHEAST AND FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

21Z update... The latest guidance had an uptick in QPF across
portions of southern Florida in association with the seabreeze
induced convection on the western side of the peninsula. This
warranted a minor reshaping of the southern bounds of the Marginal
Risk currently in effect. Elsewhere... there will be potential for
heavy rainfall all along the draped frontal boundary from the
Northeast/Mid-Atlantic region and westward to the Southern/Central
Plains. Some areas have have recent rain to lower local FFGs which
increase the risk for isolated areas of flooding concerns. No
changes were made with this update for this part of the country.

Campbell

On Friday, an upper level trough will push across the Northeast and
drive a cold front across the eastern and south-central United
States. Scattered showers and storms are expected to develop as the
frontal boundary interacts with the anomalously warm and moist air
mass, and increased shear in the vicinity of the trough will
likely support some deeper organized convection in portions of the
Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Moisture will pool ahead of the front,
and PWAT values are forecast to rise above 2 inches from the
southern Plains to the Northeast, which will allow for efficient
rainfall rates. Flash flood potential should be somewhat limited by
the speed of the front; however, locally heavy rainfall may lead
to isolated instances of flash flooding. Storms over the southern
Plains will move slower as the frontal boundary becomes quasi-
stationary, which may result in some areas of higher rainfall
totals. A mid-level wave is expected to move east across the
central/southern Plains Friday evening, which should lift the
frontal boundary north as a warm front and support a wave of
enhanced convection Friday night. There is still quite a bit of
uncertainty in where this area of convection will develop, but
there will likely be some enhanced flash flood potential over
portions of the central/southern Plains. Further southwest,
southeasterly flow and increasing moisture will support enhanced
showers and storms over West Texas and eastern New Mexico, which
may create flooding concerns in the vicinity of the Guadalupe and
Sacramento mountains and in burn scar areas. A Marginal Risk of
excessive rainfall stretches from the southern Plains to the
Northeast to cover these threats. Elsewhere, heavy rainfall will
also be possible in Florida where anomalous moisture will reside.
Convection along the sea breezes will have the potential to produce
very heavy rainfall that could lead to flooding concerns for urban
areas in Central and Southwest Florida. A Marginal Risk area has
been introduced to cover these threats.

Dolan


Day 2 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98epoints.txt

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
359 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026
Day 3
Valid 12Z Sat Jun 13 2026 - 12Z Sun Jun 14 2026

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

21Z update... There is a growing signal for a concentration of
areal average QPF of 3-5 inches to focus in the vicinity of
eastern Kansas/Oklahoma and southwest Missouri, with the potential
for very isolated maximums greater than 5 inches. This part of the
region will likely be on the higher end of the Slight Risk threat
for this period with more instances of flooding. Elsewhere, the
latest QPF trends reflect the areas highlighted by the Marginal
Risk already in place therefore no changes were necessary at this
time.

Campbell

On Saturday, several features will come together to support a heavy
rainfall threat over the central United States. An upper level
trough will drop south into the central U.S. while several southern
stream waves move northeast into the Plains ahead of this feature.
At the surface, a warm front will lift across the south-central
U.S. while a cold front moves south across the north-central U.S.,
creating an area of strong convergence from the central Plains to
the Mid/Lower Mississippi Valley. In addition to strong synoptic
forcing, a very warm, moist, and unstable air mass will be in place,
which will support the development of numerous showers and storms
with efficient rainfall rates. These features should stall for a
period as they come together, resulting in an area of very heavy
rainfall. A Slight Risk is in effect where the heaviest rainfall
totals are expected from the central Plains to the Mid/Lower
Mississippi Valley. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible in
showers and storms forming along the cold front in the Midwest,
and isolated flash flooding will be a concern, especially after
heavy rainfall expected on Day 1/Thursday. Locally heavy rainfall
may also be possible across West Texas and eastern New Mexico where
southeasterly flow may support terrain induced precipitation. A
Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall surrounds the Slight and
extends from West Texas and eastern New Mexico to the Great Lakes.

Dolan

Day 3 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/99epoints.txt

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
359 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026
Day 4 and Day 5

Valid 12Z Sun Jun 14 2026 - 12Z Tue Jun 16 2026

...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXISTS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS, LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AND THE SOUTHEAST...

The dayshift guidance continued to support the previous set of
model runs by showing a broad, amplifying trough prevailing over
over much of the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS this period. As
shortwave energy drops into the base of broad trough and further
amplifies it, the associated frontal boundary is expected to push
well south into the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley on
Sunday. Height falls aloft tied to the amplification leads to
increasing southerly flow and moisture advection from the western
Gulf will support deepening moisture along and ahead of the front.
At the same time, upper level jet dynamics and mid- level energy
provide areas of enhanced ascent. Coinciding with the deepest
moisture (PWs at or above 2 inches) and some of the better forcing,
a Slight Risk was maintained on Day 4 from southeastern Oklahoma
and northeastern Texas over to central Mississippi. Farther north,
an upslope component to the low level flow interacting with mid
level energy dropping into the broader scale trough is expected to
help initiate storms capable of producing locally heavy amounts and
isolated flash flooding concerns as far north as the Colorado
Rockies.

By Monday, the front is expected to move more slowly to
the south and east. As it does, moisture will continue to pool
along the boundary, with both the GFS and ECMWF showing PWs
increasing to over 2.25 inches (more than 2.5 std dev above normal)
from South Texas to southern Alabama. Given the potential highly-
efficient rainfall production and for the potential of training
showers and thunderstorms, heavy amounts and flash flooding will be
a likely concern across this area. A Slight Risk was drawn where
the latest guidance showed the greater overlap between the deeper
moisture and better forcing. Will continue to monitor this area for
potential upgrades, especially if the model signal for heavy
amounts continues to increase or show successive days of heavy
rainfall across the same areas.

Pereira/Bann

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
359 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026
Day 4 and Day 5

Valid 12Z Sun Jun 14 2026 - 12Z Tue Jun 16 2026

...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXISTS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS, LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AND THE SOUTHEAST...

The dayshift guidance continued to support the previous set of
model runs by showing a broad, amplifying trough prevailing over
over much of the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS this period. As
shortwave energy drops into the base of broad trough and further
amplifies it, the associated frontal boundary is expected to push
well south into the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley on
Sunday. Height falls aloft tied to the amplification leads to
increasing southerly flow and moisture advection from the western
Gulf will support deepening moisture along and ahead of the front.
At the same time, upper level jet dynamics and mid- level energy
provide areas of enhanced ascent. Coinciding with the deepest
moisture (PWs at or above 2 inches) and some of the better forcing,
a Slight Risk was maintained on Day 4 from southeastern Oklahoma
and northeastern Texas over to central Mississippi. Farther north,
an upslope component to the low level flow interacting with mid
level energy dropping into the broader scale trough is expected to
help initiate storms capable of producing locally heavy amounts and
isolated flash flooding concerns as far north as the Colorado
Rockies.

By Monday, the front is expected to move more slowly to
the south and east. As it does, moisture will continue to pool
along the boundary, with both the GFS and ECMWF showing PWs
increasing to over 2.25 inches (more than 2.5 std dev above normal)
from South Texas to southern Alabama. Given the potential highly-
efficient rainfall production and for the potential of training
showers and thunderstorms, heavy amounts and flash flooding will be
a likely concern across this area. A Slight Risk was drawn where
the latest guidance showed the greater overlap between the deeper
moisture and better forcing. Will continue to monitor this area for
potential upgrades, especially if the model signal for heavy
amounts continues to increase or show successive days of heavy
rainfall across the same areas.

Pereira/Bann

Probabilistic Heavy Snow and Icing Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
154 PM EDT Wed May 6 2026

Valid 00Z Thu May 07 2026 - 00Z Sun May 10 2026

...WPC Winter Weather Desk no longer routinely staffed until
late September, 2026...

Pending any significant winter weather, the WPC Winter Weather Desk
will not be staffed through the summer. The desk will resume
continuous staffing starting in the fall.

The WPC winter products will continue to be produced, however, and
all products except the heavy snow discussion (HSD) will be
available. This includes the Winter Storm Outlook (WSO), Winter
Storm Severity Index (WSSI), and Probabilistic Winter Precipitation
Forecasts (PWPF).


WPC

Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
210 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Valid 12Z Sun Jun 14 2026 - 12Z Thu Jun 18 2026


...Heat building across the West later this weekend into early
next week...

...Heavy rainfall and flooding threat across the southern Plains,
Lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast...


...Overview...

An unseasonably amplified pattern will be in place across the
Continental U.S. for the latter half of the weekend into next week
as a broad upper trough consolidates over the central and eastern
U.S. early in the period before slowly moving east later on. A
frontal boundary ahead of the trough is forecast to gradually sink
south and east across the south-central to southeastern U.S.,
focusing moisture for rain and thunderstorms. Some rain could be
heavy and lead to flooding concerns. Upstream, upper ridging will
build across the West Coast through early next week, leading to hot
temperatures that will be well above average in the Pacific
Northwest. The amplified pattern then may become increasingly zonal
mid to late next week.


...Guidance/Predictability Assessment...

Model guidance continues to have a solid handle on the evolution
of the large scale pattern through most of the medium range period,
featuring a West Coast ridge and a broad central to eastern U.S.
trough. This amplified pattern may turn more zonal by mid to late
week as incoming shortwave energies potentially flatten the ridge
while the trough lifts out. The smaller scale spatial and temporal
details of these shortwaves are still somewhat unclear by midweek
and beyond, but the general pattern late in the period certainly
doesn't look nearly as amplified as it does early on.

Due to the broad overall agreement between the deterministic
models, the WPC forecast continues to utilize a multi-model blend
of recent guidance for the early part of the fronts and pressures
forecast. By Day 6 and 7, more weighting (20 to 40 percent) was
placed on the EC and GEFS ensemble means to reduce individual model
differences.


...Weather/Hazards Highlights...

A potent cold front is forecast to slowly move southeast across
the southern tier from late this weekend into next week, providing
a focus for heavy rain and thunderstorms. Ample moisture and
instability interacting with the generally west to east oriented
front will mean a flash flooding threat is possible with the
potential for training storms. The greatest threat will be focused
from the Ark-La-Tex toward central Mississippi on Sunday and then
slightly farther south from southeast Texas to Alabama by Monday as
the front progresses. Slight Risks are present in both the Day
4/Sunday and Day 5/Monday EROs-- see the new Day 4-5 ERO discussion
for more. Areas of heavy rain are likely to continue across the
Gulf Coast states on Tuesday and Wednesday as the front continues
to move slowly southward.

Elsewhere, rain and thunderstorms are also possible from the
Appalachians to the Eastern Seaboard Sunday into Monday along and
ahead of the northern part of the front. Meanwhile, the back end of
the front may produce some light to moderate rain over the Rockies
and Four Corners states into early next week. A secondary front
and shortwave energies could also bring some scattered showers and
storms to the north-central Plains, Midwest, and Great Lakes on
Monday and beyond.

Hot and humid conditions will persist from the southern Plains to
the Southeast on Sunday as a subtropical upper ridge will be in
place south of the upper trough. The Eastern Seaboard can expect
generally above normal temperatures Sunday as well, but moderated
from the intense heat in the short range period. Cooler than
average temperatures are likely underneath the upper trough and
behind the cold front in the north-central U.S., spreading into the
South and East as the week progresses while moderating. Meanwhile,
the West will be rather warm under the upper ridge. The Desert
Southwest can expect temperatures well into the 100s and perhaps
over 110 into much of next week, with warmer than average
temperatures extending into the central Great Basin. Above average
temperatures should also be present in the Pacific Northwest early
next week. Daily record highs could be broken as temperatures reach
the 90s to perhaps 100 in the Willamette Valley and 80s farther
north toward Seattle. Widespread Moderate to scattered Major
HeatRisk is forecast for much of the West. Temperatures should
gradually moderate in the Pacific Northwest, but above normal
conditions will push east across the Intermountain West and reach
the Plains by midweek.


Tate/Miller


Additional 3-7 Day Hazard information can be found on the WPC
medium range hazards outlook chart at:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/threats/threats.php

WPC medium range 500mb heights, surface systems, weather grids,
quantitative precipitation forecast, excessive rainfall outlook,
winter weather outlook probabilities, heat indices and Key Messages
are at:

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst500_wbg.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg_conus.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/5km_grids/5km_gridsbody.html
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4-7.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/pwpf_d47/pwpf_medr.php?day=4
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heat_index.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ovw